TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:47 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming KPL best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-10-05 10:00 UTC: if LGD NBW wins the series, the market will resolve to "LGD NBW"; if JD Gaming wins the series, the market will resolve to "JD Gaming". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://kpl.qq.com. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming KPL best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-10-05 10:00 UTC: if LGD NBW wins the series, the market will resolve to "LGD NBW"; if JD Gaming wins the series, the market will resolve to "JD Gaming". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://kpl.qq.com. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome, though biases can still exist. It's common to see discrepancies between prediction markets and sportsbooks, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one side, or when there is significant uncertainty surrounding the event. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform doesn't use any external factors to influence pricing; it's solely driven by supply and demand from users trading on the exchange. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly evolving reflection of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the JD Gaming vs LGD NBW match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform relies on publicly available and widely accepted sources to verify the final result. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources as the event approaches to stay informed about any potential delays or changes.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes in team lineups for either JD Gaming or LGD NBW would likely cause significant shifts. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, overall shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by analyst predictions or social media discussions, can play a role. Major upsets in other related matches, or even broader trends in esports performance, might also contribute to price fluctuations before Oct 5, 2026.