TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 8:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the second map in a professional League of Legends match between two top teams during a major international tournament. The result depends entirely on which team secures victory in that specific map. Outcomes are determined by official tournament results, with specific guidelines for handling match disruptions.
The event resolves based on the result of map 2 in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026 match between JD Gaming and BNK FEARX, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:00 AM EDT. If JD Gaming wins the map, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if BNK FEARX wins, its market resolves to Yes. For both markets, if the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result published by the tournament organizer. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals freely expressing their beliefs through trading. It's possible to see divergences between the two, as prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information that isn't yet fully reflected in sportsbook lines. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome of the JD Gaming versus BNK FEARX Map 2 match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and changing perceptions about the likelihood of each team winning Map 2. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the JD Gaming versus BNK FEARX League of Legends match. The team declared the winner by the official tournament organizers will determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders will be able to see the final result and any necessary adjustments to their positions following the official announcement of the match outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either JD Gaming or BNK FEARX could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this event might also impact perceptions of team strength. In-game performance during Map 1, if played before trading closes, would likely be a significant catalyst. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning Map 2 has the potential to move this market.