TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 7:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the first map in an upcoming professional League of Legends match between two top esports teams. The result depends solely on which team secures the victory on the initial map during the scheduled tournament event. Outcomes are determined by official tournament results, with specific guidelines for handling match disruptions.
If JD Gaming wins map 1 in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026: JD Gaming vs. BNK FEARX League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 2:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If BNK FEARX wins map 1 in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026: JD Gaming vs. BNK FEARX League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 2:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by trader opinions and expectations, potentially leading to different probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team rankings and statistics, this market can quickly adjust based on new information or shifts in sentiment, even if those shifts aren’t reflected in sportsbook lines. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, order-book style exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the collective belief of all traders regarding the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential results of the JD Gaming versus BNK FEARX match. This creates a real-time probability forecast based on informed speculation.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of Map 1 in the JD Gaming versus BNK FEARX League of Legends match. The winning team on Map 1 will determine the outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official League of Legends broadcasts and reputable esports news sources for the final result, which will be used to settle all outstanding contracts.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either JD Gaming or BNK FEARX could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about patch updates to the game itself could also shift expectations. In-game performance during the match itself, such as early game advantages or key player plays, will likely cause rapid adjustments to the prices as traders react to the unfolding events. Public sentiment and analyst predictions could also contribute to movement.