TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Jazz vs. Suns
Volume:
$6,520,182
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 28 at 10:00PM ET: If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to "Jazz". If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (Phoenix wins OR Utah wins), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (Jazz, Suns, or 50-50 on cancellation), with consistent subsidiary markets for spreads, totals, and player props.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market entirely — it contains a logical contradiction that guarantees YES resolution regardless of game outcome, rendering it unresolvable and unsuitable for trading. All other markets (Polymarket spreads, totals, player props) are coherent and tradeable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical flaw in its moneyline market. Both resolution conditions state the market resolves to Yes: 'If Phoenix wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Utah wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This means YES is guaranteed regardless of outcome, creating an unresolvable market with no NO resolution path. Quote: 'If Phoenix wins the Utah at Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Utah wins the Utah at Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with coherent resolution logic: Structures mutually exclusive outcomes where the moneyline resolves to Jazz, Suns, or 50-50 on cancellation. All subsidiary markets (spreads, totals, player props) use consistent thresholds, the same game date (March 28, 10:00 PM ET), official NBA box scores as source, and clear boundary conditions (e.g., 'more than 25.5 points' for over, 'postponement keeps market open, cancellation resolves 50-50'). Quote: 'If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to Jazz. If the Suns win, the market will resolve to Suns. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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