TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Jayson Tatum's Next Team
kalshi

Jayson Tatum's Next Team

Volume:
$40,865

Stays with Boston or Retires

 - Kalshi

Stays with Boston or Retires - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 11:59 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Stays with Boston or Retires

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,365
N/A
N/A
$12,682
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,099
N/A
N/A
$2,099
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,875
N/A
N/A
$1,875
Settled
No
kalshi

Portland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,732
N/A
N/A
$1,732
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,585
N/A
N/A
$1,585
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,559
N/A
N/A
$1,559
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,459
N/A
N/A
$1,459
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,430
N/A
N/A
$1,430
Settled
No
kalshi

San Antonio

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,410
N/A
N/A
$1,410
Settled
No
kalshi

Milwaukee

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,166
N/A
N/A
$1,166
Settled
No
kalshi

Golden State

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,139
N/A
N/A
$1,139
Settled
No
kalshi

Charlotte

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,110
N/A
N/A
$1,110
Settled
No
kalshi

Brooklyn

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$826
N/A
N/A
$726
Settled
No
kalshi

Oklahoma City

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$643
N/A
N/A
$643
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$475
N/A
N/A
$475
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$288
N/A
N/A
$288
Settled
No
kalshi

Utah

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$194
N/A
N/A
$194
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles L

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$147
N/A
N/A
$147
Settled
No
kalshi

Sacramento

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$107
N/A
N/A
$107
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
No
kalshi

Dallas

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
kalshi

Toronto

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$41
Settled
No
kalshi

Indiana

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

New York

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
No
kalshi

Detroit

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Intro

This market tracks whether Jayson Tatum will play for an Eastern Conference team, retire, or remain with the Boston Celtics before October 23, 2026, focusing specifically on his next team. On Kalshi, the current probability that Tatum's next team will be Indiana is 98.0%, with resolution based on team affiliation by October 23, 2026. Watch for any trade announcements or retirement statements before the October 23, 2026 deadline to see how the market may shift.

Kalshi

Jayson Tatum's next team affiliation will be determined by his official roster status before October 23, 2026. Each NBA team outcome resolves to Yes if Tatum signs with or is traded to that franchise. The market includes a special outcome for remaining with the Boston Celtics or retiring, which resolves to Yes if Tatum does not change teams or if he officially ends his career. Resolution is based on official NBA announcements and roster confirmations.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Jayson Tatum market tracks the current odds for each potential team, the price history of those odds over time, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $52, and the total volume traded to date is $40,865. You can see how the probabilities have shifted as traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about where Jayson Tatum will play next. The dashboard provides a real-time view of the collective prediction of the crowd.

Generally, prediction markets like this one often reflect information and insights that differ from traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and public perception, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, allowing traders to react quickly to news and developments. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant uncertainty or new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of expertise among participants and the ability of the market to quickly adjust to changing circumstances.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on Jayson Tatum’s official team affiliation at the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. This means any trades, free agency signings, or other team changes occurring before that date will determine the outcome of this market. The market will settle to the team for which Tatum is officially listed on the NBA’s roster at that time.

Several factors could significantly shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding Jayson Tatum’s contract negotiations with his current team, the Boston Celtics, would be a major catalyst. Rumors of potential trades involving Tatum, or his expressed desire to play for a different franchise, would also heavily influence trading activity. Major coaching changes or shifts in team strategy across the NBA could also impact perceptions of where Tatum might thrive, and therefore move this market. Finally, injuries to key players on potential destination teams could alter the landscape.