TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:53 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Ettan soccer match between Jarfalla and Umea. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the match within regular time, or if the game will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Jarfalla vs Umea professional Ettan soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Jarfalla, Umea, or Tie markets occurs if the respective team wins or the match ends level within regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as only the standing after regular time counts. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially uncovering information not fully captured by bookmakers. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions on player form, potential injuries, or even less quantifiable factors like team morale. Observing these differences can be insightful for both seasoned bettors and those new to predictive markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current top market on Kalshi is for Umea to win, although the chance percentage is not currently available.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jarfalla vs Umea match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Jarfalla or Umea would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, unexpected coaching decisions, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi could signal shifts in market expectations, causing the odds to adjust rapidly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.