TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Claire Liu and Maddison Inglis in the Japan Women's Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Claire Liu' if Claire Liu advances against Maddison Inglis. This market will resolve to 'Maddison Inglis' if Maddison Inglis advances against Claire Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Claire Liu and Maddison Inglis in the Japan Women's Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Claire Liu' if Claire Liu advances against Maddison Inglis. This market will resolve to 'Maddison Inglis' if Maddison Inglis advances against Claire Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply how each venue processes data. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, potentially offering an edge over more static sportsbook lines. Examining both can be a valuable strategy for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Liu vs Inglis match. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the crowd believes is the true probability. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the players and the match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Claire Liu and Maddison Inglis, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will officially close and settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even social media commentary, could also play a role. A significant shift in betting action at sportsbooks might also prompt traders to reassess their positions, leading to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential market movements.