TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Claire Liu and Kanon Sawashiro in the Japan Women's Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Claire Liu' if Claire Liu advances against Kanon Sawashiro. This market will resolve to 'Kanon Sawashiro' if Kanon Sawashiro advances against Claire Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Claire Liu and Kanon Sawashiro in the Japan Women's Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Claire Liu' if Claire Liu advances against Kanon Sawashiro. This market will resolve to 'Kanon Sawashiro' if Kanon Sawashiro advances against Claire Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of information, analytical approaches, or simply varying opinions on the players’ form. If significant differences emerge, it may suggest that the market perceives a different probability of either player winning than what is implied by sportsbook lines. Tracking these differences can be a valuable exercise for anyone interested in tennis and predictive analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust accordingly. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds remain responsive to the latest developments and insights surrounding the Liu vs Sawashiro match. The current volume indicates a degree of interest and conviction among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Japan Women's Open qualification match between Claire Liu and Kanon Sawashiro, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which player advanced to the next stage of the tournament. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament upsets, might also impact the odds. Furthermore, significant betting activity or analysis from respected tennis experts could drive price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market effectively.