TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilli Tagger and Liudmila Samsonova in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilli Tagger' if Lilli Tagger advances against Liudmila Samsonova. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Lilli Tagger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilli Tagger and Liudmila Samsonova in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilli Tagger' if Lilli Tagger advances against Liudmila Samsonova. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Lilli Tagger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of prediction markets where odds adjust rapidly with each trade. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or shifts in public perception regarding the Tagger vs Samsonova match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tagger vs Samsonova match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result. The exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed at which official results are published and verified.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the Tagger vs Samsonova match could also influence perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, major upsets in related tournaments or even social media commentary could create volatility and drive trading activity, potentially altering the odds considerably.