TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lanlana Tararudee and Kaitlin Quevedo in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lanlana Tararudee' if Lanlana Tararudee advances against Kaitlin Quevedo. This market will resolve to 'Kaitlin Quevedo' if Kaitlin Quevedo advances against Lanlana Tararudee. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lanlana Tararudee and Kaitlin Quevedo in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lanlana Tararudee' if Lanlana Tararudee advances against Kaitlin Quevedo. This market will resolve to 'Kaitlin Quevedo' if Kaitlin Quevedo advances against Lanlana Tararudee. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk, while this market relies on individuals wagering their own capital, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying levels of market efficiency. It's common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than sportsbook lines, especially as the event draws closer and more data becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding the potential winner of the Japan Women's Open.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Japan Women's Open, as officially declared by tournament organizers, will determine the settlement of this market. The platform will rely on official results to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official tournament updates to stay informed about the progress of the event and its potential impact on the market.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or strong performances by underdogs, could also lead to price adjustments. Furthermore, weather forecasts and any announcements related to the tournament schedule could impact the perceived probabilities of each player winning the Japan Women's Open. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding market movements.