TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 1:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Ann Li will advance against Lilli Tagger in their Japan Women's Open tennis match, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Ann Li winning the match. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores page at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the official match results following the conclusion of the match on October 22, 2026, to see how this market resolves.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ann Li and Lilli Tagger in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ann Li' if Ann Li advances against Lilli Tagger. This market will resolve to 'Lilli Tagger' if Lilli Tagger advances against Ann Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players' strengths and weaknesses. If there’s a significant difference, it may suggest that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Li vs Tagger match. It's important to compare both to form your own informed opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the Li vs Tagger match’s likely result, based on the information available to traders.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Li vs Tagger match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or strategic adjustments could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches within the tournament could impact perceptions of player form and confidence, ultimately influencing how traders assess the likelihood of either player winning the Li vs Tagger match.