TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 11d:13h:54m
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In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Japan and Brazil, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 5:15 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Japan and Brazil, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 5:15 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. This dynamic pricing can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions, as the market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives than a single sportsbook might.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome – in this case, which team will be leading at halftime. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. The current top outcome, Japan leading at halftime, has a chance percentage of 48.5%.
This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official halftime score of the Japan vs. Brazil match. The team leading at the end of the first half will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes regarding the official score will be resolved by referencing widely accepted sports news sources and official match data.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players' availability or fitness levels would likely cause significant price movement. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators or analysts could sway opinions and impact the volume traded on Polymarket. Public perception and late-breaking news are key catalysts to watch as the match approaches.