TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether James Madison will win their college football game against Georgia Southern by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives an 86.0% probability to James Madison winning by over 1.5 points, with resolution determined by the outcome of the James Madison vs Georgia Southern game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the final score following the conclusion of play on October 10, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the James Madison vs Georgia Southern college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For markets predicting James Madison wins, resolution occurs if James Madison’s victory exceeds the specified point margin (e.g., over 27.5 points, over 24.5 points, etc.). For markets predicting Georgia Southern wins, resolution occurs if Georgia Southern’s victory exceeds the specified point margin (e.g., over 1.5 points, over 2.5 points, etc.). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the crowd perceives a different probability of a particular outcome than the bookmakers. However, as the event approaches, these odds often converge as more information becomes available and the market matures.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the James Madison vs Georgia Southern game. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their contracts are aligned with the final result. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out $1 if the actual spread falls within the contract's range.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the James Madison vs Georgia Southern game, as reported by a major sports data provider, will determine the winning contracts. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the actual result will pay out, while those predicting a different spread will expire worthless. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available information, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the James Madison or Georgia Southern teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Additionally, any major news related to team morale, coaching changes, or unexpected developments in team strategy could cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.