TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between James Madison and Georgia Southern. Outcomes are determined solely by the score at halftime, with various thresholds defining different market resolutions.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the first half of the James Madison vs Georgia Southern college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team's lead exceeds the designated point margin by the end of the first half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain active and resolve according to the actual halftime result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting balanced probabilities given available information up to that point. The contest exclusively considers first-half performance; second-half scoring has no impact on resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each market. It's common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than sportsbook lines, as traders react quickly to news and developments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct. The current price indicates what the market believes is the most likely outcome for the first half spread in the James Madison vs Georgia Southern game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the first half of the James Madison vs Georgia Southern game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the correct spread will settle at 100, while those predicting an incorrect spread will settle at 0. The official result will be sourced from generally accepted sports data providers.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the James Madison or Georgia Southern teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the game, could also shift the market. Additionally, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can influence the price, as can updated analysis from sports commentators and experts.