TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:04 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Jaiba Brava versus Alacranes game in Liga de Expansion MX, this event determines if each team scores at least one goal within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The focus is solely on scoring during standard match duration, excluding any extended play periods.
If Jaiba Brava and Alacranes both score a goal in the Jaiba Brava vs Alacranes Liga de Expansion MX match originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals freely expressing their beliefs through trades. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can reveal areas where the crowd disagrees with the experts, or where the market anticipates unforeseen factors influencing the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Jaiba Brava vs Alacranes match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving consensus of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Jaiba Brava and the Alacranes score at least one goal during the match. Official match results, as reported by recognized sports news outlets and league authorities, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Jaiba Brava or the Alacranes would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, or announcements about tactical changes, could contribute to price fluctuations. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of both teams scoring has the potential to move this market.