TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league game. The result depends solely on the final score after the regulation period, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will adjust fairly if the match is canceled or significantly rescheduled.
The event resolves based on the result of the Jaiba Brava vs Alacranes professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: Jaiba Brava win, Alacranes win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regulation time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution exclusively considers the result after regular time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has attracted a disproportionate amount of expertise on this event. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment, resulting in a constantly updated assessment of the likely result of the Jaiba Brava vs Alacranes match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jaiba Brava vs Alacranes match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the final result. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in other related matches, or even significant shifts in public opinion, could also influence the price of contracts. Monitoring sports news, team announcements, and social media discussions can provide valuable insights into potential catalysts that might shift the odds before the Oct 11, 2026 resolution of this market.