TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 3:33 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Europa League contest between Jagiellonia and Ararat-Armenia, this event will resolve positively if both teams score at least one goal during the match's regular time. This includes the standard 90 minutes and any stoppage time added by the referee, but does not account for goals in extra time or during penalty kicks.
If Jagiellonia and Ararat-Armenia both score a goal in the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia Europa League match originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market represents what individuals are willing to wager, incorporating a broader range of information and potential biases. It's common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can sometimes identify undervalued or overvalued probabilities compared to those offered by sportsbooks. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Jagiellonia and Ararat-Armenia score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and the market will settle accordingly. The final price will reflect whether 'BTTS' occurred, with a price of 100 indicating 'Yes' and 0 indicating 'No'.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Jagiellonia or Ararat-Armenia would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches, as well as pre-match analysis from reputable sources, could shift trader sentiment and alter the price of this market.