TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia
kalshi

What is the result of Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia?

Volume:
$227,201

Jagiellonia

 - Kalshi

Jagiellonia - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 4:56 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jagiellonia

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$103,179
N/A
N/A
$68,437
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ararat-Armenia

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71,007
N/A
N/A
$48,888
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,016
N/A
N/A
$34,288
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional Europa League soccer match between Jagiellonia and Ararat-Armenia scheduled for October 15, 2026. The result will be determined after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Participants can speculate on whether either team will win or if the match will end in a tie based on the final score at the end of regular time.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia professional Europa League soccer match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Jagiellonia wins, the 'Jagiellonia' market resolves to Yes. If Ararat-Armenia wins, the 'Ararat-Armenia' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time, and monitor the total volume traded in this market, which is currently $227,201. The 24-hour volume is $226,354, indicating recent trading activity. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likely result of the match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal risk assessments, while this market is driven by individuals putting their capital at risk. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, it’s interesting to see if this market agrees, or if traders believe the sportsbook is underrating or overrating a particular team's chances. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public perception versus informed betting.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. The current market indicates a strong level of interest in certain potential results.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants. Traders should monitor the official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the odds. Additionally, performance in recent matches, weather conditions, and even public sentiment can all play a role. Major news events related to either Jagiellonia or Ararat-Armenia, or even broader developments in the sport, could also cause fluctuations in price and volume as traders react to new information.