TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Europa League soccer match between Jagiellonia and Anderlecht. The market will determine whether Jagiellonia, Anderlecht, or neither team (a tie) secures a victory within the regulation 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The result is based solely on the final score at the end of normal time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht professional Europa League soccer match originally scheduled for October 22, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome for Jagiellonia occurs if they win the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, without extra time or penalties. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for Anderlecht occurs if they achieve such a victory. If the match concludes in a tie after the same regulation period, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as per the defined procedures. All outcomes are determined exclusively by the result at the end of normal time, with no consideration given to extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation events.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can influence the price on Kalshi to reflect their collective assessment. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market sometimes offering more accurate predictions than traditional sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, news, and their own analysis, which drives price fluctuations. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The final price of the contracts at resolution will determine the exact payout amounts for each participant in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Jagiellonia or Anderlecht would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, coaching changes, or even significant pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could all contribute to shifts in the market price. Monitoring these signals is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.