TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Ararat-Armenia FA - First Team to Score
predict
polymarket

What team will score first?

Volume:
$35

Ararat-Armenia FA

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 7:23 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ararat-Armenia FA

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

AA

N/A
N/A
—
$19,819
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Neither

0%
78%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Neither

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jagiellonia Białystok

0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

JAG

N/A
N/A
—
$2,049
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Jagiellonia Białystok and Ararat-Armenia FA. The market also includes an option for 'Neither' if no goal is scored within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution criteria regarding the first goal scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with the same fallback data sources and cancellation/postponement handling.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore and Sofascore.

Core resolution logic:

  • The first team to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time determines the winner.
  • If no team scores within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Postponement extends the resolution timeframe until the match is completed.
  • Cancellation of the match results in a resolution of 'Neither'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If none are available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 (or 'Draw' where applicable).
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as the official result is available, but no later than 24 hours after the match conclusion, potentially resolving to a 50-50 split if data remains unavailable.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Jagiellonia Białystok and Ararat-Armenia FA, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Jagiellonia Białystok" if Jagiellonia Białystok are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ararat-Armenia FA" if Ararat-Armenia FA are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between Jagiellonia Białystok and Ararat-Armenia FA, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Jagiellonia Białystok" if Jagiellonia Białystok are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ararat-Armenia FA" if Ararat-Armenia FA are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of either Jagiellonia Białystok or Ararat-Armenia FA scoring the first goal in their upcoming match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong likelihood of Jagiellonia Białystok being the first to score, with a combined volume of $35. This reflects the aggregated predictions of users on both venues, offering a comprehensive view of expectations for the Jagiellonia vs. Ararat-Armenia match. The 24-hour volume is $35.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates individual predictions. As a result, you may observe discrepancies between the two. Prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, particularly regarding team news or subtle shifts in form. However, sportsbooks typically offer more betting options and higher liquidity.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team formations for either Jagiellonia or Ararat-Armenia could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or changes to the match venue might also influence the odds. Furthermore, any significant developments in team performance leading up to the match, such as recent wins or losses, could cause fluctuations in the market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential movements.