TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 7:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks forecasters to predict the exact final score of a UEFA Europa League match between Jagiellonia Białystok and Ararat-Armenia FA after 90 minutes of regulation time, plus stoppage time. Outcomes include specific scorelines, and 'Any Other Score' is provided as a catch-all.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between Jagiellonia Białystok and Ararat-Armenia FA, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Ararat-Armenia FA match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between Jagiellonia Białystok and Ararat-Armenia FA, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Ararat-Armenia FA match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; Polymarket has a higher volume of $581 on this market, potentially leading to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the interfaces and incentives on each platform can influence trading behavior. For example, different fee structures or user experience features might encourage different types of bets, impacting the observed probabilities for the Jagiellonia Białystok versus Ararat-Armenia match.