TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:47 AM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Wisla Plock, scheduled for October 25, 2026. Markets exist for Jagiellonia winning, Wisla Plock winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution is based on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming Poland Ekstraklasa game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Wisla Plock.
The event determines the winner of the Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock professional Ekstraklasa soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct markets resolve based on the match outcome: one for a Jagiellonia win, one for a Wisla Plock win, and one for a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the defined procedures. The resolution strictly adheres to the result at the end of regular time, with no consideration given to post-match events such as extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals trading based on their own research and insights. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. This market’s implied probabilities may differ from those offered by sportsbooks due to variations in information access, analytical approaches, and the motivations of participants.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Polish Ekstraklasa. Trading volume and liquidity also play a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery—how traders can place and fill orders—differ between Polymarket and Kalshi, contributing to potential price discrepancies. These differences in user behavior and platform mechanics can create separate, yet related, markets for the same event.