TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Gornik Zabrze
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Gornik Zabrze?

Volume:
$197,946

Gornik Zabrze

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 4:18 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Gornik Zabrze

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$74,887
N/A
N/A
$26,154
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gornik Zabrze

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,632
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jagiellonia Bialystok

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,726
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jagiellonia

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,708
N/A
N/A
$17,060
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,526
N/A
N/A
$30,881
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Gornik Zabrze)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Gornik Zabrze, scheduled for October 10, 2026. Markets exist for Jagiellonia winning, Gornik Zabrze winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same criteria: the outcome of the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (Ekstraklasa.org).

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • The draw market resolves to 'Yes' if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used, followed by Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as acceptable final match statistics are available, but no later than 24 hours after the event's scheduled conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Poland Ekstraklasa game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Gornik Zabrze.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze professional Ekstraklasa soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Jagiellonia, a win for Gornik Zabrze, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regular time, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following predefined procedures. The event explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootouts in determining outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Polish Ekstraklasa match across multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It provides a consensus view of the probabilities for various outcomes, currently showing a total volume of $197,946 and 24-hour volume of $183,432. This allows traders to see how opinions are shifting and compare the aggregated forecast to individual platform prices. The dashboard tracks the collective wisdom of the crowd regarding the result of the Jagiellonia Bialystok versus Gornik Zabrze game, giving a broad perspective on potential results.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market, specifically, may show discrepancies because prediction markets can incorporate a wider range of information, including sentiment analysis and real-time updates, that sportsbooks may not immediately factor in. These differences can create opportunities for arbitrage or informed betting.