TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 11:24 PM EST
Kalshi
Jacob Misiorowski is a professional baseball pitcher, and this event tracks whether he throws a pitch at various velocity thresholds during the 2026 season. Pitch velocity is measured by radar guns at stadiums and recorded in official game statistics. The faster a pitcher can throw, the more difficult it is for batters to hit the ball effectively.
During the 2026 Pro Baseball season (regular season and playoffs), Jacob Misiorowski's fastest pitch will be measured and recorded. Resolution is determined by the highest velocity pitch he throws in any game throughout the season. Each market corresponds to a specific velocity threshold, with resolution to Yes if that threshold is met or exceeded by his fastest recorded pitch. Velocity measurements are based on official radar gun readings from games. All pitches thrown in both regular season and playoff games are eligible for consideration.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on implied probabilities derived from team and player statistics, while this market incorporates the collective wisdom of traders who may consider factors not explicitly captured in those models – like potential weather conditions or a player’s recent training regimen. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can sometimes identify mispricings or undervalued outcomes that sportsbooks miss. This dynamic can lead to opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official, verified fastest pitch speed recorded during a regular season MLB game for Jacob Misiorowski. The outcome will be determined by publicly available data from official MLB sources. Traders should monitor game results and official MLB statistics as the end date approaches to understand how the market is likely to settle.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding Jacob Misiorowski’s health, pitching schedule, or training progress would be closely watched. His performance in early-season games, particularly his pitch velocity, will heavily influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions during his starts, such as strong headwinds, could also affect pitch speed and therefore the market. Finally, any major changes in the broader baseball landscape, like rule adjustments impacting pitching, could introduce new considerations for traders.