TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 5:27 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming ATP singles match scheduled for 2026-10-20 14:10 UTC: if Jacob Fearnley wins the match, this market resolves to "Jacob Fearnley"; if Hugo Gaston wins, it resolves to "Hugo Gaston". The winner is the first player to claim the required number of sets under the match's official best-of format. If the match begins but is not completed, a retirement or default counts the opposing player as the winner. If a walkover is declared before the first point is played, the match is outright canceled, or it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. Suspensions caused by weather, fading light, or other tournament-imposed delays do not close this market — it stays open until the match is officially completed, provided it concludes within the 7-day window mentioned above. Resolution Source: The official ATP Tour scoring page. Note: This market will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming ATP singles match scheduled for 2026-10-20 14:10 UTC: if Jacob Fearnley wins the match, this market resolves to "Jacob Fearnley"; if Hugo Gaston wins, it resolves to "Hugo Gaston". The winner is the first player to claim the required number of sets under the match's official best-of format. If the match begins but is not completed, a retirement or default counts the opposing player as the winner. If a walkover is declared before the first point is played, the match is outright canceled, or it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. Suspensions caused by weather, fading light, or other tournament-imposed delays do not close this market — it stays open until the match is officially completed, provided it concludes within the 7-day window mentioned above. Resolution Source: The official ATP Tour scoring page. Note: This market will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can provide a broader understanding of potential outcomes.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of the traders about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly updated based on real-time demand and supply, providing a fluid and responsive assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Jacob Fearnley versus Hugo Gaston match. Any official announcement from the governing body of the sport will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. The platform will then verify the result against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into the evolving expectations surrounding the Fearnley-Gaston match.