TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a football game by measuring how many times they successfully tackle the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The focus is on evaluating defensive intensity and strategy through recorded sacks.
All markets resolve based on the official number of sacks recorded by either Jacksonville or Cincinnati during the Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026, excluding any sacks made during 2-point conversion attempts. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 2+ to 6+ sacks) for each team, with resolution depending on whether the team's total meets or exceeds that threshold.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may initially favor one team, the prediction market can adjust rapidly based on new information or changing sentiment. It’s common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and traditional sports betting venues, offering a potentially valuable comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total number of team sacks. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and reflect the collective beliefs of participants regarding the likely number of sacks in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of team sacks recorded during the Jacksonville versus Cincinnati game will determine the winning contract. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result. It’s important to monitor the game closely as it progresses to understand how the final statistics will impact the market’s resolution.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Jacksonville or Cincinnati teams, particularly defensive players or offensive linemen, would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the number of sacks, as they affect passing and offensive strategies. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in game plans could also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could impact trader sentiment and move the odds in this market.