TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often specific players get the ball during an upcoming football game between Jacksonville and Cincinnati. It focuses on whether certain players reach particular thresholds of rushing attempts, reflecting their potential usage in the offense.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players record a specified number of rushing attempts in the Jacksonville vs Cincinnati Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event, ensuring consistency in resolution regardless of the specific threshold being tracked for each player.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to trade based on their own insights, potentially leading to odds that more accurately forecast the actual number of rushing attempts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of public opinion as the game approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total rushing attempts. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a specific outcome is likely, the price of that contract increases, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards the true probability of each outcome as the event nears.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official statistics for rushing attempts in the Jacksonville versus Cincinnati game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game logs, which will determine the total number of rushing attempts by both teams combined. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Injury reports concerning key running backs or offensive linemen on either team would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting inclement conditions, could also shift expectations regarding rushing frequency. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or game plans could also impact the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to increased volume and price adjustments in this market.