TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sports
Jacksonville vs Cincinnati: Passing Touchdowns
kalshi

What is the result of Jacksonville vs Cincinnati?

Volume:
$58,808

Joe Burrow: 1+

 - Kalshi

Joe Burrow: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 2:58 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Joe Burrow: 1+

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,388
N/A
N/A
$2,512
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trevor Lawrence: 1+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,500
N/A
N/A
$1,445
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trevor Lawrence: 2+

0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,944
N/A
N/A
$27,213
Settled
No
kalshi

Joe Burrow: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,879
N/A
N/A
$7,230
Settled
No
kalshi

Joe Burrow: 3+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,582
N/A
N/A
$6,008
Settled
No
kalshi

Trevor Lawrence: 3+

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,665
N/A
N/A
$5,655
Settled
No
kalshi

Joe Burrow: 4+

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,285
N/A
N/A
$2,211
Settled
No
kalshi

Trevor Lawrence: 4+

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$889
N/A
N/A
$889
Settled
No
kalshi

Joe Burrow: 5+

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$534
N/A
N/A
$534
Settled
No
kalshi

Trevor Lawrence: 5+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
$142
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns they achieve. Bettors can speculate on whether a player will reach certain thresholds of scoring passes during the match.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns recorded by either Joe Burrow or Trevor Lawrence in the specified game. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap — even if that play is nullified by a penalty — the market resolves according to the actual passing touchdowns recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 1 to 5 passing touchdowns), and if the player meets or exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' The markets are independent, allowing for varied betting on different performance levels for each quarterback.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing touchdowns market tracks the current prices for various outcomes, displaying the implied probabilities as determined by traders. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $55,778. The total volume traded on this market is $58,808. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the number of passing touchdowns scored in the Jacksonville versus Cincinnati game.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time adjustments as traders buy and sell contracts. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges, such as player injuries or weather forecasts. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price variations between the two types of markets.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing touchdowns scored during the Jacksonville versus Cincinnati game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring accuracy and transparency. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the market's outcome and any potential payouts.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding the starting quarterbacks for either team, such as injuries or changes in playing status, would likely cause substantial movement. Weather conditions, particularly strong winds or heavy rain, could affect passing game strategies and, consequently, the market prices. Unexpected changes in team formations or play-calling tendencies, as well as any significant in-game events like early turnovers, could also influence trading activity and shift the probabilities reflected in this market.