TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Derrick Henry: 1+
- Kalshi
Derrick Henry: 1+ - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Time left: 03d:09h:05m
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This event tracks whether either team's defensive special teams unit scores a touchdown during the specified football game. It focuses on special teams plays, excluding offensive touchdowns or those from fake punts. The outcome depends on whether either defensive unit achieves this specific scoring feat during the contest.
The event determines if either the Baltimore Ravens or Jacksonville Jaguars defensive/special teams units score at least one touchdown in their game on November 5, 2026. For each team’s market, if the unit is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair pre-game price. Once a snap occurs, settlement depends solely on whether the unit scores a touchdown. Touchdowns resulting from offensive plays, fake punts, or field goal attempts do not count. The markets operate independently, meaning each team’s performance is evaluated separately to resolve its respective outcome.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by professionals. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges and more traders participate. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks may converge, especially if there is strong agreement on the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether each team scores at least one touchdown during the game. Official game statistics from a reputable source will be used to determine the number of touchdowns scored by each team. The final outcome will be based on the official game results, and the market will settle accordingly once those results are verified.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Jaguars or Ravens would likely cause significant movement, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could impact the passing or running game. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, large-volume trades by informed participants could also trigger price fluctuations, as traders react to perceived advantages or disadvantages. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves.