TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Jacksonville wins by over 1.5 points
- Kalshi
Jacksonville wins by over 1.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 03d:00h:21m
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This set of markets tracks the point differential between Baltimore and Jacksonville in their scheduled Pro Football game on Nov 5, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, allowing participants to bet on how decisively either team might win.
The event consists of multiple sub-markets, each defined by a specific point differential threshold for the outcome of the Jacksonville vs Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 5, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the winning team achieves a victory by more than the specified point margin. For markets where Baltimore is the potential winner, thresholds range from over 1.5 points to over 20.5 points. For markets where Jacksonville is the potential winner, thresholds range from over 1.5 points to over 14.5 points. All markets share identical secondary disclaimers stating that the platform is not affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners. The resolution of each market depends solely on the actual point differential from the game, with no additional conditions or tiebreakers applied beyond the specified thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. You may find that this market moves more efficiently in response to new information, such as injury reports or weather forecasts, compared to traditional sportsbooks. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes be more competitive, especially closer to game time. It's useful to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Jacksonville vs Baltimore game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the outcome. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards a collective assessment of the game's likely result. The current market depth shows the available bids and asks for each spread, giving insight into trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Jacksonville vs Baltimore game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the NFL. The market will determine which spread – the one favored by the most contracts purchased – ultimately reflects the actual game outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout based on the contract's value at resolution. The exact timing of resolution depends on the official release of the game results.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Jacksonville Jaguars or the Baltimore Ravens would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the spread. Major news stories or public statements from coaches or players could also move the market. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself, indicating strong conviction from informed traders, could lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.