TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Trevor Lawrence: 250+
- Kalshi
Trevor Lawrence: 250+ - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 03d:07h:29m
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Trevor Lawrence will attempt to throw for over 175 yards in the upcoming football match between Jacksonville and Baltimore. The outcome hinges on whether he meets this benchmark during the game.
All markets resolve based on Trevor Lawrence’s total passing yards or touchdowns in the full game, including overtime. Contracts are protected: if Lawrence participates in the first half but not afterward, they resolve at the pre-game fair price unless he meets or exceeds the threshold, in which case they settle based on actual statistics. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates is subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes differ significantly from the opening prices on Kalshi. It’s important to remember that both represent different forms of forecasting, and discrepancies can arise due to varying information and biases influencing each.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity indicate the level of confidence traders have in each potential outcome, allowing for a dynamic and responsive pricing system based on real-time demand.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage totals for both quarterbacks in the Jacksonville vs Baltimore game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage totals, as reported by official NFL sources, will determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders who correctly predicted the passing yardage range will be paid out according to the contract terms at the time of their trade.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players, particularly the quarterbacks, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they predict adverse conditions impacting the passing game, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts, updated team strategies, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.