TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Trevor Lawrence: 175+
- Kalshi
Trevor Lawrence: 175+ - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 03d:05h:35m
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The markets evaluate whether Trevor Lawrence will achieve specific passing yard thresholds in a football game between Jacksonville and Baltimore. Each threshold represents a different level of performance, and the outcomes depend solely on the actual passing yards he records during the game.
All markets resolve based on whether Trevor Lawrence records the specified number of passing yards in the Jacksonville vs Baltimore Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026. If Lawrence is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once he takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on the passing yards recorded. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when there is strong public sentiment or information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges or as traders react to different factors influencing the game's potential outcome.
On Kalshi, the price of contracts in this market is determined by supply and demand. Traders place bids to buy contracts (predicting an outcome will happen) and offers to sell contracts (predicting an outcome won’t happen). On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. When there are more buyers than sellers for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants and provides a probabilistic forecast of the total passing yards for the Jacksonville vs Baltimore game. The market's depth, represented by the volume of $163, also influences price discovery.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage statistics for the Jacksonville versus Baltimore game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yards for each quarterback will be sourced from official NFL data and used to determine which outcome, if any, corresponds to the actual result. The market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome, and 0 for all others, based on the official statistics released following the game's completion.
Numerous signals could influence this market leading up to its resolution around Nov 6, 2026. Updates on player health, particularly for quarterbacks and wide receivers, are crucial. Changes in the projected weather forecast for the game, such as the likelihood of rain or high winds, could also affect passing yard expectations. In-game developments, like a quarterback getting injured or a team abandoning the pass early, would have an immediate impact. Finally, any significant news regarding coaching strategies or defensive schemes could move this market.