TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Parker Washington
- Kalshi
Parker Washington - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Time left: 03d:01h:59m
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This event determines which team's defense scores the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game. It covers scenarios where either team's defensive unit scores first or if no touchdown is scored by any player during the game.
The event resolves based on which defense scores the first touchdown in the specified professional football game, or if no touchdown occurs at all. Each market corresponds to a specific outcome: one for the Baltimore Ravens defense scoring first, one for the Jacksonville Jaguars defense scoring first, and one for no touchdown being scored by any player. If a team's defense is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before the game starts. Once a defense takes at least one snap, the market outcome depends solely on whether that defense scores the first touchdown. If no touchdowns are scored in the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all other markets resolve to No. Touchdowns scored on fake punts or offensive field goals do not count toward special teams touchdowns.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives that sportsbooks may not immediately account for. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate breaking news or changes in sentiment than sportsbooks do, though the difference can vary considerably depending on the event and the level of public attention.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player scored the first touchdown in the Jacksonville versus Baltimore game. The determination will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play records. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be resolved by referencing official sources and established football rules. The result will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could significantly shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players for either team, would have a substantial impact. Changes in weather forecasts, such as the prediction of heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the market, as they affect passing and running strategies. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team tactics or coaching decisions, or even unexpected pre-game reports about player matchups, could all contribute to movement in this market before the game begins.