TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 10:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Kennesaw State will win by over 1.5 points in their college football game against Jacksonville State. Currently, Kalshi gives a 66.0% probability to Kennesaw State winning by more than 1.5 points, with a 19.0% probability assigned to Kennesaw State winning by over 2.5 points. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State game originally scheduled for October 7, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the final score following the conclusion of play on October 8, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Jacksonville St. vs Kennesaw St. college football game scheduled for Oct 7, 2026. For markets specifying Jacksonville St. winning by a certain margin, resolution occurs if Jacksonville St. achieves that margin or greater. Conversely, markets specifying Kennesaw St. winning by a certain margin resolve if Kennesaw St. meets or exceeds that margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market is driven by the actions of many individuals. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between the two, as sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception or promotional offers. Over time, the prediction market price tends to converge with sportsbook lines as more information becomes available and traders refine their assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread of the Jacksonville St. vs Kennesaw St. game. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price represents the market's aggregate forecast, and traders aim to profit by identifying discrepancies between their own predictions and the market price.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Jacksonville St. vs Kennesaw St. game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of college football. The final spread will be compared to the market’s contracts to determine payouts to winning traders. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process based on the actual game result.
Several factors could influence this market before the game takes place. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either the Jacksonville St. or Kennesaw St. teams would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team's style of play, could also impact the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment and alter the price of contracts in this market.