TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Arizona St.
- Kalshi
Arizona St. - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
Time left: 02h:00m:13s
$
This event group concerns the outcome of the women's college basketball game between Jackson State and Arizona State, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026. The markets aim to determine which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
This event is for the WBB game between Jackson State Tigers and Arizona State Sun Devils on November 2 at 7:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the designated women's college basketball game. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, both markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information. This can lead to differences, as prediction markets are less susceptible to biases inherent in sportsbook modeling. However, arbitrage opportunities may exist if significant discrepancies arise between the two, allowing traders to profit from the difference.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and fee structures, influencing price discovery. Differences in liquidity – the volume of trading activity – can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, differing interpretations of available information or varying risk appetites among traders on each platform can lead to distinct probabilities being established for the Jackson State vs. Arizona State game. These factors create independent price signals, even for the same underlying event.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Jackson State vs. Arizona State game, as reported by a trusted sports authority. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market data, and winning positions will be settled accordingly. The market's resolution provides a clear and transparent record of the predicted versus actual result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions impacting the game, or even major shifts in public perception based on media coverage, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi can create short-term price fluctuations, as traders react to new information or adjust their positions based on evolving probabilities for the Jackson State vs. Arizona State game.