TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the Jacksonville Jaguars will win by more than 1.5 points against the Cincinnati Bengals. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 95.0%. Resolution will be determined by the final score of the JAC Jaguars vs CIN Bengals Pro Football game, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 4, 2026, as the final score will directly determine the market’s outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on the official final score of the JAC Jaguars vs CIN Bengals Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold: if the winning team exceeds that threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately regardless of other outcomes. The governing league's official score and any certified tie-breaking procedures will determine resolution. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective beliefs of traders. If a significant number of traders believe the Jaguars will perform better than expected, the price of contracts favoring the Jaguars will decrease, potentially moving closer to—or even beyond—the sportsbook's initial line. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or risk assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Jaguars-Bengals game. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the market’s aggregate expectation of the final point difference in the game, and traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Jaguars versus Bengals game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. Traders will be able to view the final result and their payout amounts on Kalshi following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Jaguars or the Bengals would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, or even shifts in public sentiment reflected in polls or expert analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Oct 4, 2026.