TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points will be scored by both teams combined in the final quarter of a specific football game. Bettors can predict whether the total points will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of challenge and potential return.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the JAC Jaguars and CIN Bengals during the 4th quarter of their game scheduled for October 4, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a different threshold: 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, 10.5, 13.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, 21.5, and 24.5 points. If the combined score meets or exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets exclusively consider points scored during regulation time of the 4th quarter, with no inclusion of overtime scoring. The markets are independent, allowing for varied betting opportunities on the same game outcome from different perspective points.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the 4th quarter will be over or under a certain threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived likelihood. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the fair value. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the 4th quarter of the Jaguars vs. Bengals game will be tallied from official game statistics. The final score will determine whether the market settles on the 'over' or 'under' side of the specified point total. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Jaguars or the Bengals would likely cause movement, as this impacts scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be severe, could also shift expectations. Additionally, in-game performance during the first three quarters could influence traders’ beliefs about the likely 4th quarter total. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could also contribute to price fluctuations.