TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:53 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance gap between the JAC Jaguars and CIN Bengals specifically during the second quarter of their scheduled game on October 4, 2026. Outcomes depend entirely on which team leads by a certain margin at the end of that quarter, with different thresholds defining each market's resolution.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential at the end of the second quarter of the JAC Jaguars vs CIN Bengals game scheduled for October 4, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team's victory margin exceeds the designated point threshold for that market. Only points scored during the second quarter count; any points from other quarters are irrelevant. Markets cover a range of thresholds from 2.5 to 10.5 points for both teams, allowing participants to bet on various degrees of dominance within that single quarter. The governing league’s official scoring and game records determine the resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and motivations among bettors. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows individuals to express their true beliefs about the probability of an event. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate forecasts than traditional odds, though discrepancies can exist, especially early in the market’s life. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly as new information becomes available, potentially diverging from fixed sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final 2nd quarter spread of the Jaguars versus the Bengals game will be used to determine whether the Bengals won the 2nd quarter by more than 6.5 points, as defined by the market contract. The result will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Jaguars or the Bengals, particularly the quarterback or key defensive players, would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they predict adverse conditions, could also impact the expected scoring and therefore the spread. Finally, significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding team performance could drive trading activity and alter the price of contracts in this market.