TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Czech First League soccer match between two teams. Participants can bet on whether one team will secure a victory or if the game will end in a draw within the standard match duration. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Jablonec vs Plzen professional Czech First League soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Jablonec wins for the Jablonec market, Plzen wins for the Plzen market, or the match ends in a tie for the Tie market. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regular time results, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal risk assessments, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price variations between the two types of markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically. This creates a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood, driven entirely by supply and demand. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if a specific outcome happens.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Jablonec vs Plzen match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the final score and declare the outcome based on publicly available data. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct result will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all shift the perceived probabilities. Significant pre-match analysis from sports analysts or unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks could also impact trading activity. Any information that alters the assessment of either team's chances of winning has the potential to move the market, creating opportunities for informed traders to react and adjust their positions.