TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:19 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a specific Dota 2 match between two esports teams in a professional tournament. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the scheduled match. Any changes to the match timing or cancellation will adjust the outcome based on predefined fairness conditions.
The market resolves based on the result of the EPL World Series Southeast Asia 2026 Dota 2 match between Ivory and InterActive Philippines, scheduled for October 4, 2026, at 2:00 AM EDT. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its original start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited without any gameplay, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the result follows the official outcome declared by the tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a wider range of participants contributing to the price discovery process. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Ivory vs. InterActive match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current market price represents the aggregated belief of all traders on Kalshi regarding the result of the Ivory vs. InterActive match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ivory vs. InterActive match as declared by the governing sporting body. Traders will then be paid out according to their contracts, with payouts determined by the final outcome. The market will close prior to resolution to prevent any last-minute manipulation or influence on the final price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team form, player injuries, or changes in coaching staff for either Ivory or InterActive Philippines could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or even broader trends in the sport, could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi can create short-term price movements, and any public statements from analysts or experts could sway opinions and impact the market.