TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:56 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Ivory Coast and Cameroon will resolve multiple outcome scenarios based on the total number of goals scored by both teams within the standard 90-minute regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout periods.
All markets resolve based solely on the total goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with no consideration for extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation events. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the cumulative goals surpass specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5), meaning at least 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6 goals respectively must be scored. The markets are independent assessments of scoring volume and are not influenced by which team scores the goals. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As a result, the price on Kalshi can sometimes diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges and more traders participate. It's common to see prediction markets become more accurate closer to the event as more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Ivory Coast vs Cameroon match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, they will buy contracts representing that outcome, driving up the price. Conversely, if traders believe an outcome is unlikely, they will sell, pushing the price down. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Ivory Coast vs Cameroon match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football association. The contracts on Kalshi will then pay out based on whether the total goals scored match the contract’s specified outcome. All trading will cease once the official result is known, and payouts will be processed accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Ivory Coast or Cameroon could significantly shift the probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact the market. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from reputable football analysts and any unexpected lineup announcements could all contribute to price fluctuations as traders adjust their positions based on new information. Public sentiment and betting patterns elsewhere could also play a role.