TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:56 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate whether either Ivory Coast or Cameroon achieves a decisive victory margin, focusing exclusively on goal differential during the standard 90-minute regulation time, with no inclusion of extra time or penalty shootout results.
Resolution depends entirely on the goal differential between the two teams during the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout phases. One set of markets triggers a 'Yes' outcome if Ivory Coast wins by more than 2.5 or more than 1.5 goals (i.e., at least 3 or 2 goal margins respectively). The other set resolves 'Yes' if Cameroon secures a victory margin exceeding 1.5 goals (at least 2 goals) or more than 2.5 goals (at least 3 goals). All outcomes are determined purely by the numerical goal difference without regard to tournament context or post-regulation events. Kalshi states no official connection to the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the true probability of the spread in the Ivory Coast vs Cameroon match. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to note that both represent probabilities of the same underlying event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Ivory Coast vs Cameroon match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that accurately forecasts the event’s outcome based on the aggregated knowledge of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread determined by official sources for the Ivory Coast vs Cameroon match. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ivory Coast or Cameroon teams would likely impact the market price. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather forecasts for the match location could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in coaching staff could also cause shifts in the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of the spread in the Ivory Coast vs Cameroon match has the potential to move the market.