TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 5:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Ivanov Anatolie and Rata Mihail in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 30 at 12:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivanov Anatolie' if Ivanov Anatolie wins against Rata Mihail. This market will resolve to 'Rata Mihail' if Rata Mihail wins against Ivanov Anatolie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Ivanov Anatolie and Rata Mihail in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 30 at 12:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivanov Anatolie' if Ivanov Anatolie wins against Rata Mihail. This market will resolve to 'Rata Mihail' if Rata Mihail wins against Ivanov Anatolie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially when there's strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows for a more fluid adjustment based on the collective wisdom of traders. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly as the event draws nearer and more information surfaces.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Ivanov vs. Rata match, and the price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of the corresponding contract, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and efficient way to forecast the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ivanov vs. Rata match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective settlement process.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected match conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could create short-term price fluctuations. Unexpected upsets in related matches or tournaments could also indirectly impact this market, as traders reassess the overall competitive landscape. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the odds.