TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

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4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Italy vs Turkiye
kalshi

What is the result of Italy vs Turkiye?

Volume:
$3,373,549

Italy

 - Kalshi

Italy - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Italy

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,050,622
N/A
N/A
$1,024,228
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Turkiye

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$851,406
N/A
N/A
$500,212
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$471,521
N/A
N/A
$355,656
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Italy will win its UEFA Nations League soccer match against Turkiye. Currently, Kalshi gives Italy a 74.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 19.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the game as determined by the official outcome of the Italy vs Turkiye professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time – excluding any extra time or penalties. Keep a close watch on the kickoff of the match on October 5, 2026, as that will begin the window for resolution.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Italy vs Turkiye professional UEFA Nations League soccer match originally scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Italy wins within this timeframe, the 'Italy' market resolves to Yes. If Turkiye wins, the 'Turkiye' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie under the same conditions, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Italy vs Turkiye match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each outcome—who will win—changes over time. The current volume is $3,298,849, and the total volume traded on this market is $3,373,549. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and see which outcome traders currently favor. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how people are predicting the result of this sporting event.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the outcome of the Italy vs Turkiye match, they can take positions that push the prediction market odds in a different direction. This dynamic can lead to interesting comparisons and potentially reveal discrepancies.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at various price points—indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders regarding the likelihood of each result in the Italy vs Turkiye match.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Italy vs Turkiye match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will determine which outcome—an Italy win, a Turkiye win, or a draw—is the officially recorded result. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract prices at resolution.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form for either Italy or Turkiye could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the teams and the match itself can influence trader behavior. Major upsets in other related matches or tournaments might also cause traders to reassess their predictions for the Italy vs Turkiye match.