TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:45 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Italy and Türkiye, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy score more goals than Türkiye in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Italy and Türkiye score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Türkiye" if Türkiye score more goals than Italy in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Italy and Türkiye, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy score more goals than Türkiye in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Italy and Türkiye score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Türkiye" if Türkiye score more goals than Italy in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their view, leading to a dynamic and potentially more accurate assessment. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful for those looking to identify value in either market.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism that is constantly updated based on supply and demand. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share in a particular outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the second half of the Italy vs. Türkiye match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either team could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected weather conditions during the match, or even significant momentum shifts during the first half, could also cause the market to react. Additionally, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could lead to changes in trading volume and price. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.