TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Italy vs. Türkiye - More Markets
polymarket

What is the result of Italy vs Türkiye?

Volume:
$1,074,679

Italy (-1.5)

 - Polymarket

Italy (-1.5) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 6:38 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Italy (-1.5)

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$346,964
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$256,053
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$85,755
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$81,196
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48,639
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,651
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Italy O/U 2.5

100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,173
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5

100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,732
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Italy O/U 0.5

100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,713
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Italy 1st Half O/U 0.5

100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,918
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Türkiye O/U 0.5

100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,802
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Italy O/U 1.5

100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,245
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2nd Half O/U 1.5

100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$177
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Italy 2nd Half O/U 0.5

100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score in Second Half

100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Türkiye (-1.5)

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,732
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Türkiye O/U 3.5

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,938
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,657
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Italy (-2.5)

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,222
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st Half O/U 1.5

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,798
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 5.5

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,650
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Türkiye O/U 1.5

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,998
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st Half O/U 2.5

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,006
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Italy O/U 3.5

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,157
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 6.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,656
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 60

Intro

This market tracks whether Italy will win by more than 1.5 goals against Türkiye in their upcoming UEFA Nations League match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Italy achieving this spread. The resolution source for this market is the official UEFA website: https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/. Keep an eye on the kickoff time of the match on October 5th at 2:45 PM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the final score of the game as reported by UEFA.

Polymarket

More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 5 at 2:45 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Italy vs. Türkiye match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time, and monitor the total volume traded in this market. Currently, the total volume is $1,072,979 with $1,061,822 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of various results in this highly anticipated sporting event.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their beliefs with real money. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments related to the Italy vs. Türkiye match.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Italy vs. Türkiye match, as determined by the governing sports organization. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the verified final result of the competition.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Major upsets in other relevant matches, or even significant public sentiment shifts, could also impact trading volume and prices. Furthermore, any official announcements from the governing sports body related to the Italy vs. Türkiye match will likely cause immediate reactions within this market.