TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:45 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Italy and Türkiye, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Türkiye" if Türkiye are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Italy and Türkiye, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Türkiye" if Türkiye are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant event or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes outperform traditional methods in forecasting event outcomes. However, sportsbook odds remain a widely used benchmark for comparison.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe Italy will score first, the price of that outcome’s contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment among participants. The current volume indicates the level of interest in each potential first scorer.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on determining which team scores the first goal in the Italy vs. Türkiye match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted which team would score first. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either team could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role, potentially favoring one team’s playing style over another. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports commentators and experts, as well as any significant shifts in public sentiment, can all contribute to movement in this market leading up to Oct 5, 2026. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations.