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Italy vs. Türkiye - First Team to Score
polymarket

What is the result of Italy vs Türkiye?

Volume:
$96

Italy

 - Polymarket

Italy - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 6:40 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Italy

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$69
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Türkiye

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming match between Italy and Türkiye, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Türkiye" if Türkiye are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Italy and Türkiye, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Türkiye" if Türkiye are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Italy vs. Türkiye first-to-score market displays the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $87, with a total volume of $96 since the market opened. Traders on Polymarket are expressing their beliefs about which team will score first in the match, and these beliefs are reflected in the changing prices. The dashboard provides a visual representation of market sentiment, allowing users to quickly assess the likelihood of each outcome according to the crowd.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets allow for continuous trading and incorporate information from a diverse range of participants. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, this market allows the odds to adjust dynamically as new information emerges and more people participate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, market biases, or simply the varying levels of liquidity between the two types of venues.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it, offering a real-time assessment of the likelihood of either Italy or Türkiye scoring first.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Italy vs. Türkiye match. Official match data will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.

Several factors could influence the movement of this market. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue might also play a role, potentially favoring one team over the other. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports commentators and experts, as well as shifts in public sentiment, could all contribute to changes in trading activity and, consequently, the market's price. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly influence this market.