TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:45 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Italy and Türkiye, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Italy vs. Türkiye match originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Italy and Türkiye, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Italy vs. Türkiye match originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by individual traders on Predict, tends to be more responsive to new information and evolving sentiment. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will adjust accordingly, potentially offering value to informed bettors. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible exact score. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market for the Italy vs. Türkiye match.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official result of the Italy vs. Türkiye match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score at the end of regulation time will determine the winning contract. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for resolution. Traders who correctly predicted the exact score will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and fairness.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Italy or Türkiye would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, or even weather forecasts for the match location could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news events affecting either country, or major shifts in public opinion regarding the teams' chances, could also play a role. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations in this market leading up to Oct 5, 2026.