TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 6:38 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Italy and Türkiye, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Italy vs. Türkiye match originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Italy and Türkiye, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Italy vs. Türkiye match originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. It's common to see this market move in response to news, injuries, or shifts in public perception, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Analyzing these differences can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers regarding the Italy vs. Türkiye match.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Italy vs. Türkiye match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports body. The market will determine which exact score was the final result of the match. Any disputes regarding the official result will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all traders.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 5, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Italy or Türkiye team would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team formations or tactical approaches, revealed through pre-match press conferences, could also influence trading activity. Even broader factors, like weather conditions on match day or significant news related to team morale, could introduce volatility. Any information that alters perceptions of either team’s chances of success has the potential to move this market.